Thursday, August 18, 2016

Searching for simple, fair Canadian electoral reform


It’s time for a Canadian representative parliamentary system. Inclusive, fair, and simple enough to satisfy disparate sensibilities and majority rules.


ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED HERE IN THE HILL TIMES


By Wayne Pajunen                                                                                                              Thursday Nov. 26, 2015

Democratic Canadians are fond of the practice “majority rules”. The simplicity of this aphorism is practiced and quoted from our children’s playgrounds to our corporate boardrooms.
Sir Isaac Newton recognized the value of simplicity: Truth is ever to be found in simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things.
 
Since 1867 majority rule is how we had hoped our electoral system would function. This electoral model has not withstood the modern day test of time though. When electing Members of Parliament (MPs) and three or more parties garner votes cast the gold standard of majority rules is too often undermined. Elected commonly receive as low as 30% support as we’ve settled for first past the post (FPTP) victors, as though our communal destiny should equate to thoroughbreds galloping.
FPTP equating to “minority rules” is not considered fair play by many Canadians and may have run its final race. Justin Trudeau who recently won a majority government with 39.5 percent of the vote has committed to this victory as being the last election to acquiesce to the first past the post model.

Voters are weary of MPs winning seats and majority federal governments with tallies far short of a majority. Many Canadians estranged by FPTP, knowing their candidate has no chance to represent them parliament, conclude; “Why should I even vote?” This common belief is anathema to our democratic values. Reflecting this sense of impotency Elections Ontario reported a record 31,399 voters took the time to go to the polls only to register a protest non-vote!

Contriving a system whereby majority rules among three or more contesting party candidates is a conundrum democracies world over have struggled and experimented with, while devising diverse alternatives to FPTP.

The USA fortuitously, or otherwise, swept aside multiple party logistics by requiring exorbitant sums of money to contest national campaigns. This model effectively sets the stakes at the table too high for parties, other than the established Republicans and Democrats, to fairly compete. This model doesn’t pass muster in Canada where we have agreed to strict spending limits to preserve fiscal electoral fairness among classes and parties, preventing corporations and the wealthy from perceived or real “buying” of elections and candidates.

Many have touted a proportional representation (PR) model whereby a party gains legislative representation equal to the percentage of votes garnered. A party gaining under 40 percent of the vote today and a majority government, as happened in 1993 and 2015, would receive an equal percentage of the seats in a minority parliament.
Two drawbacks to this method are significant. Foremost, voters are prohibited from electing a candidate to directly represent their individual and community interests. Accordingly these MPs have no direct obligation to local constituent concerns.
Secondly PR often leads to political fragmentation whereby there are too many cooks in the kitchen and “functioning” coalitions are propped up by backroom horse-trading and policy compromises. The upside, and at the same time downside, is socially desired parties would attain representation in parliament proportional to their votes while ornery parties, such as a few in Europe, gain a voice on the national stage dragging discourse down to their insensitivity contrary to Canada’s greatest virtue, our sensitivities of inclusiveness.

A third oft mentioned option is mixed-member proportional (MMP) representation which requires voters mark their ballot twice to endorse a preferred local candidate and a political party. Ontario’s referendum found MMP wanting and rejected it in 2007.

Israel’s PR and Germany’s MMP systems have had to be modified, some say gerrymandered, several times since their inception, hardly simple or fair.

British Columbia has seen wide support for electoral reform yet has twice voted down the proposed BC-STV (single transferable vote – STV, a.k.a. instant-runoff voting (IRV)) system. Rumours are Ottawa is considering this model, but as BC demonstrated, adopting the STV model is easier said than done. STV does have its merits. Voters mark their ballots with their first second and third preference. If tabulations produce no candidate garnering more than 50 percent of the vote the second choice is added to the equation and so on until a majority victor emerges. One obvious shortcoming occurs when voters believe the election is close and he/she is motivated to undemocratically mark the “second best candidate” last on the ranked ballot to improve their preferred candidates fortune in a possible run-off.

Reforming the first-past-the-post system is a laudable however daunting undertaking. Not so long ago three provinces moved on replacing the FPTP system and via referendums voters vetoed the proposed alternatives to their familiar voting construct in Prince Edward Island (2005), Ontario (2007) and British Columbia (2009).

In the name of simplicity, fair and direct representation we could consider maintaining our current system with one modification and one addition.

The modification: Once the vote is completed and the leading vote getter fails to receive more than 50% of the vote, the process could be modified to accommodate a run-off vote among the top two vote getters conducted 2 to 7 days after. The run-off vote could be conducted by computer or in person at the same voting station location as they did on Election Day. To facilitate e-voting, voters are given a Second Round Voters ID (SRV-ID) card along with their Election Day ballot. Voters keep the SRV-ID or “run-off voter card ID” should a second round be necessary as a credential to vote in person or with a secure registration number to vote on-line in the second round.

The second round of voting modification would address the desire for majority rule, and provide hassle free participation in the run-offs, enabling voter turnout to stay as close as possible to the Election Day participation rate. If the likes of Pay-pal can provide secure on-line transactions, surely Canada can provide a secure e-voting process.
In fact, it may be that today’s technology could facilitate implementing the balloting process on-line, another consideration.

This modification does not address the needs of the citizens who voted for a party that did not win representation in the House of Commons, as consequence of our current FPTP system or the considered STV method. The disenfranchised would remain so under all options being considered save for the chaotic PR system.

Newly elected Prime Minister Trudeau apparently believes, as did his father, that a benevolent government enshrines legal rights, such as our Charter of Rights and Freedoms, to appease and protect the existence and development of the minority, and so should our electoral system.

The addition: The unrepresented disenfranchised minority of Canadian’s deserve voice in parliament. The addition to our electoral system would consist of adding 10 seats to the House of Commons structuring a forum for proportional representation for parties that fail the FPTP test. It might work like this; if the Green Party received 50 percent of the vote among parties bereft of representation they would be allotted 5 of the 10 available seats and so on for the other unrepresented parties. The party members to occupy these seats would derive from a prioritised list of 10 candidates announced before the election so their supporters would know whom they would most likely be voting for should their preferred candidate’s party accumulate sufficient votes to qualify for representation. This formula would provide a deserved voice in Parliament for the significant number of Canadians currently muted by FPTP and would not have undue sway on the majority elected balance of power within a stable government structure.

This formula, which we may label the Canadian Representative Parliamentary System (CRPS), would serve Canadian’s well, as we are now, individually and among our communities yet be more inclusive than our current model.

Although CRPS won’t uphold the democratic ideal of every vote being equal Canadian’s don’t have that now. Electoral districts do not have equal numbers of eligible voters. Some northern ridings elect MP with less than 35,000 constituents, whereas several metropolitan cater to over 120,000 constituents. Canadian’s in northern ridings have 3 to 4 times more proportional representation per vote than many urban constituents.
What CPRS will do is give disenfranchised Canadian voters and their parties an effective voice in the House of Commons.
CRPS provides for familiarity and stable governments able to lead Canada and make difficult the decisions of governing while accommodating Canada’s disenfranchised.

As uncomplicated as CRPS is, it will require thorough study, negotiation and procedural rules from the ballot box to question period in the House of Commons. As a classic Canadian compromise, CRPS’s simplicity and inclusiveness may even pass a surely obligatory referendum where other considered options have recently failed. A referendum on CRPS would demonstrate respect of the populace, continuity of Canadian values and beliefs and welcome a principled inclusion of the disenfranchised.

A Canadian Representative Parliamentary System may be inclusive, fair and simple enough to satisfy disparate sensibilities and majority rules, and it be another step forward along the path of our great country’s evolution.

As another of mankind’s greatest thinkers Leonardo da Vinci advised: Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.


Wayne Pajunen

Wayne is a political affairs columnist, consultant and former employee of Canada’s House of Commons and the Liberal Party of Canada. His work also appears in The Hill Times, The News Lens, Taipei Times and AMCHAM Business Topics magazine.


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